Insights

Trends, news, analysis and insight brought to you by our network of global experts.

Sam Jochim

Investment Insights • MFN 19 October 2023

IMF: navigating global divergences

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently released its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO).* Its projections for global GDP growth are broadly unchanged relative to the April WEO and July WEO update but the risks to the outlook have become more balanced. In this Macro Flash Note, Economist Sam Jochim summarises.

Sam Jochim

5 min read

Investment Insights • MFN 11 October 2023

What to expect from the BoJ

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced it would leave policy unchanged at its meeting on 22 September. However, the recently released minutes suggest a policy shift may be on the way. In this Macro Flash Note, Economist Sam Jochim summarises.

Sam Jochim

3 min read

Investment Insights • Infocus 02 October 2023

Is equity market volatility set to increase?

Following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), volatility in US equity markets declined, encouraged lower by falling interest rates and the Fed’s quantitative easing program. With the Fed having raised rates by a cumulative 525 basis points since March 2022 and now shrinking its balance sheet, could equity market volatility rise?

Sam Jochim

4 min read

Investment Insights • Infocus 13 September 2023

India: A light in a dimming global economy

Strong domestic consumption and investment is driving GDP growth in India and the outlook appears positive, despite slowing global growth. Sam Jochim and Amanda Cotti look at India’s economy, its structural challenges and the opportunities that lie ahead.

Sam Jochim

2 min read

Investment Insights • MFN 29 August 2023

US HICP inflation

US inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with contributions from the shelter component slowing its decline. However, US consumer price indices treat the shelter component differently to the euro area’s Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). In this Macro Flash Note, Economist Sam Jochim looks at what US inflation would be if it followed the HICP methodology.

Sam Jochim

3 min read

Investment Insights • MFN 27 July 2023

A preview of the BoJ’s July meeting

Inflation in Japan has been above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target since April 2022. Despite this, the central bank has remained the global outlier and maintained ultra-loose monetary policy. In this Macro Flash Note, Economist Sam Jochim looks at what can be expected from the BoJ’s meeting on 28 July.

Sam Jochim

3 min read

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Insights

IMF: navigating global divergences

What to expect from the BoJ

Is equity market volatility set to increase?

India: A light in a dimming global economy

US HICP inflation

A preview of the BoJ’s July meeting

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